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![]() The San Andreas Fault ![]() Click on image to view a larger picture. The San Andreas Fault is the most-studied fault in the world. From a strictly geologic point of view, understanding the San Andreas Fault is key to piecing together the geologic history of much of California. From an engineering and urban planning point of view, assessing risks and safety planning are critical to the well being of millions of Californians. Understanding near-surface conditions, ground motion, and earthquake frequency on the San Andreas and adjacent faults will lead to constructing the safest possible earthquake-resistant structures. The San Andreas Fault was named by geologist A.C. Lawson in 1895 for San Andreas Lake, a "sag pond," on the fault trace about 20 miles south of San Francisco. San Andreas Lake is now occupied by one of two reservoirs that are major water storage areas for San Francisco. In part because of California's burgeoning population, recent large earthquakes and historically major earthquakes, the San Andreas Fault has attracted significant research efforts in the past few decades. Results of some of these studies has led to there being generally accepted basics regarding the San Andreas Fault:
Much of the study of the San Andreas Fault in recent years has been directed toward figuring out the recent history of earth movement along the fault. Numerous major earthquakes other than the 1857 and 1906 temblors can be documented with detailed examination of soil layers using radiometric dating. Defining the frequency and estimating the magnitude of these quakes can help scientists get the big picture for defining when the next earthquake may occur along any one segment of the fault. It doesn't say "when the next major quake will occur," but rather "here is the approximate year or decade or century when a quake of a specific magnitude should be expected to occur." Moderate earthquakes have occurred along the Parkfield (central California) segment of the San Andreas every 22 years or so. However even the Parkfield segment is now about a decade "overdue" for an earthquake. Much effort has also gone toward monitoring creep rates, and comparing those rates to overall displacement on the fault. Where creep rates are higher, the stress accumulation may be less than areas where the fault is locked, shows little or no creep, and thus may be subject to rare singular catastrophic movements. Also monitored are precursor events such as small earthquakes, water table changes, and gas emissions. Detection of these may give scientists and officials help in warning of imminent earthquake danger.
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